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Face
the creditors, mom
The
Philippine Star
08/27/04
No matter how
much the government and even the eminent faculty members
of the UP School of Economics talk about the perils of the
countrys high level of debt and unmanageable budget deficit,
we may not be able to get out of the rut unless drastic measures
are seriously undertaken soon.
Malacañang
has announced its own austerity measures from doing away with
merienda during LEDAC (Legislative-Executive Development Advisory
Council) meetings to several energy conservation measures to save
on electricity and imported oil products. Yet I feel these are simply
token words. Wa epek, if you really get down to brass and tacks.
Raising the
red flag and admitting that the government is indeed in a fiscal
crisis (as differentiated from a financial crisis that Argentina
had experienced) reflect an all-too familiar posturing, even mind-conditioning.
The game plan, it seems, is that should the taxation proposals being
pushed by the President not pass, then she is not to blame; it is
the legislators who are not learned economists that become the culprits.
More taxes from
those with less are dangerous. Yet more taxes, especially if levied
on the general population, are not the solution. Wasnt this
the route chosen by Argentina? Did this not only inflame Argentinean
workers, leading to mass strikes and chaos, and ultimately economic
paralysis?
Its true
that our debt ratios are already comparable to Argentina. And worse,
our fiscal sector seems to be more paralyzed now than that of our
Latin American counterpart. But exacting more taxes from those already
getting less will most probably create more serious problems.
Be brave; ask
creditors for re-structuring. What we need to do now is pull the
brakes on new loans, particularly loans being obtained to pay for
interest on outstanding loans and to pay for loans coming due and
demandable. And this is where the fun begins. The cat is out of
the bag, anyway.
So, why not
bravely face our creditors and start restructuring all our debts?
Stop pretending that the country can still afford to borrow some
more especially if the additional borrowings are just to pay off
interests and due loans.
If we want to
call a spade a spade, then lets shed off this macho (9th powerful
woman) image and, with honor and with heads up, approach our creditors
with a clear plan to solve the deficit problem and an urgent request
to re-shape our gargantuan liabilities. Negotiate for extension
of terms and conversion of interests into principal to be repaid
over a period of time. Even if a premium would be imposed for re-structuring,
it would be worth the time we will buy to get out of the hole.
With firm hand,
clean the house. Hand in hand with the stretched re-payment plan
for liabilities are firm commitments of this government to radically
cut back on spending. First to be slashed, perhaps by as much as
50 percent, should be the countrywide development fund or more popularly
known as our legislators pork barrel.
Next should
be the reduction of IRA or internal revenue allotment given to certain
government units. It may be possible that not all local government
units may be affected. Again, those who are confirmed to be in dire
need should be provided.
Government must
operate on a shoestring budget. The move to streamline and cut the
bureaucratic fat must be pursued vigorously. This is to demonstrate
to the creditors that steps are being taken to cut expenditures
to meet the requested extended term of repayment of loans.
Increase revenues.
Aside from paring to the barest its spending, government needs to
increase revenue collection. But this need not be done at the expense
of the general population. There are other ways to raise revenues.
For instance,
why not beg off (at least temporarily as we solve our deficit crisis)
from our World Trade Organization (WTO) commitments. By doing so,
we can increase tariff and taxes on all importation of luxury goods
and non-essential products that can be produced locally.
This would not
only increase revenue collections, but also encourage and give some
breathing space to local manufacturers that are now finding difficulty
to compete with products from other countries freely entering the
domestic market.
Of course, local
taxes on sin products alcohol and cigarettes should
without hesitation be hiked. Those legislators who were before swayed
by the strong lobby and opposed tax increases on sin products must
now relent and just for a moment consider the countrys predicament.
However, I dont
believe that raising the specific tax on petroleum products by P2
per liter is going to do the country good in the long run. Instead,
lets focus on certain sectors, like private motorists, and
discourage wasteful consumption of gasoline, for instance.
And, of course,
the acrimonious debates about the re-organization of the Bureau
of Internal Revenue (BIR) should be stopped and legislative action
taken to immediately make the bureau a more effective collection
agency. A graft-free, performance-based collecting agency is the
key to increasing revenues, not the imposition of new taxes.
Facing up to
creditors armed with clear and firm commitments to put our fiscal
position in order would require the highest degree of political
will and leadership. And it will buy us precious time. On the other
hand, the current administration may face an erupting social volcano
difficult to manage if it decides to ram down the wrong pills to
cure the ailment.
Breaking
Barriers with SBMA chairman Felicisimo Payumo
Breaking
Barriers on IBC (11 p.m. every Wednesday) will feature chairman
Felicisimo Payumo of the Subic Bay Metropolitan Authority on Wednesday,
1st September 2004.
Heated debates
are ongoing on what the best economic and spatial strategy should
be to develop the entire Central Luzon including Clark, the former
US Air Base. Will the formation of the Subic-Clark Alliance for
Development or SCAD accelerate the development of both areas? Or
will it be just another bureaucratic layer that will choke and stifle
investors initiatives? Is the re-structuring of SBMA merely
to accommodate another "pay back" appointee? Or is it
appropriate to sustain Subics progress? Watch it.
Health
issues on TV
Isyung
Kalakalan at Iba Pa on IBC-TV13 News (5 p.m., Monday to Friday)
ends today the discussion of the countrys health issues. With
the governments huge budget deficit, the countrys less
privileged citizens are not getting the proper medical care from
the state-owned and managed health service system. Comparatively,
we have the worst health figures in the region. Worse, our people
are dying because of illnesses that are curable by current day health
science standards. What can this country do to stay alive in spite
of governments financial problems? Watch it.
Should you
wish to share any insights, write me at Link Edge, 4th Floor, 156
Valero Street, Salcedo Village, 1227 Makati City. Or e-mail me at
reygamboa@linkedge.biz. If you wish to view the previous columns,
you may visit my website at http://bizlinks.linkedge.biz.
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